Bay Area Housing Market Heating up Along with Summer Temperatures
Maybe we just had a late spring. That’s one possible explanation for what we’re seeing in the Bay Area housing market. Normally, the real estate market picks up in March, April and May and then takes a breather over the summer for vacations, graduations, weddings and other activities. But this year it seems like that’s being reversed.
After a modest spring, the local housing market has been heating up this summer with strong sales in June and even into July in many areas. Sales activity has been especially robust in the higher end of our markets – over $1 million in much of the Bay Area and $2 million and up in San Francisco. But even the mid-level market was surprisingly active (more on that below).
As I was combing through last month’s sales figures, I noticed an interesting trend: In most of our Bay Area markets in June we had the highest level of million-dollar home sales since the summer of 2008. You might recall that was just weeks before the collapse of Lehman Brothers sent the financial markets into a tailspin and pushed our economy into the “Great Recession.” Now, three full years later, we’re seeing a much brighter picture for the local housing market.
Silicon Valley – There were a whopping 284 million-dollar home sales in June, up from 230 the previous month and the highest level the region has seen since June of 2008. The very high end of the market – those homes over $2 million – saw sales spike to 52 from 36 a year ago;
Clearly, the Bay Area’s relatively strong economy – especially the robust tech sector – is playing a key role in our housing market. As Inman News put it in a Friday article, “Tech is back -- and tiptoeing along behind it, at least by some measures, is the San Francisco-area real estate market.”
“Indeed, technology-based industry -- which drove Bay Area home prices to fabled levels during the headiest days of the housing boom -- seems to have found its legs,” Inman reported. At the end of 2010, San Francisco had an estimated 30,700 tech jobs, compared with the 32,800 at the peak of its tech boom in 2001, according to an analysis by real estate firm Jones Lang LaSalle.
This all is not to suggest the housing market is completely out of the woods. Real estate is very much a local business. And while many of our markets are on the mend, others are still softer than they were a few years ago. And there still is an overhang of distressed properties that will continue to come on the market as bank owned REO sales in the months ahead.
While we take quite serious the nation’s fragile economy, and most recently the stalled talks to come to terms with our national debt limit, we can be thankful for the Bay Area real estate activity that continues to move forward. We are fortunate to live and work where we do. The limited housing stock, diverse job base, incredible universities, and great weather are all factors that help homebuyers focus on these terrific home values and low mortgage rates.
Silicon Valley – The best homes are getting lots of offers. Our Cupertino office says the majority of its sales are multiple offers. Seems like we are having a delayed spring. New single-family home listings in good areas of Los Altos, Mountain View and Sunnyvale are getting multiple offers and selling up to 15% over asking price, according to our Los Altos manager. Activity has increased recently in the Los Gatos area with more properties seeing multiple offers. Well-priced homes are continuing to sell at a quick pace while not so well priced homes continue to languish. Our San Jose Almaden office says a number of price reductions have led the way toward sales over the last week. Prices overall are not going up, but in fact appear to have dipped a bit. Multiple offers still abound for the “good deal.” In the San Jose Willow Glen area, open houses are pretty busy and sales have been steady. The Saratoga market seems to be steady. One home listed in Saratoga for $1.5 million received 18 offers and was bid up astronomically.
That’s it for now. Enjoy the summer weather, and have a great week!
Tuesday, August 2, 2011
Sunday, July 10, 2011
LOCATION LOCATION LOCATION
Bay Area housing market: It’s all about location
It’s an old real estate adage, but it couldn’t be truer today. When it comes to the health of the Bay Area (and the rest of the country, for that matter), the three most important rules for the housing market are location, location and location.
As readers of this column know by now, the upper end of the Bay Area market has fared relatively well in recent years while entry-level and mid-priced communities around the Bay have struggled far more to recover from the recessionary downturn.
I talked about this disparity in an interview with the San Jose Mercury for an article that was published on Sunday. As the Mercury noted, housing prices in many affluent cities in Silicon Valley and the Peninsula are nearing their pre-recession highs while other working-class communities have a long ways to go in their recovery.
One reason for this trend, as I pointed out to reporters, is that more-expensive markets never saw home prices drop as sharply as the areas with more subprime lending and subsequent foreclosures. Lower-priced communities had more marginal buyers, many of whom also made zero or small down payments. More of those buyers also took out resetting adjustable loans.
On the other side of the coin, residents and potential buyers in high-end communities generally haven’t been impacted by the overall economic downturn as much as homeowners in other areas. In Silicon Valley in particular, the strength of the tech industry and the growing number of successful start-ups and initial public offerings have created a tremendous number of affluent, well-capitalized buyers who are bidding up prices of a limited number of homes.
Because home prices in affluent communities never dropped as much as those in entry-level markets, these cities have less ground to make up in recovering from the downturn. Palo Alto’s median sale price, for example, is off about 12 percent from its peak in 2008 while the median in several low-to-middle income markets is still down nearly 50 percent, according to the news report.
Two of the largest Bay Area cities with a diverse mix of housing are recovering, albeit not quite as fast as Silicon Valley, according to the reports. San Francisco’s median sale price is about 22 percent below its 2007 peak while San Jose is 36 percent below its high-water mark. It’s important to note the sheer size of San Jose and San Francisco populations reflect diverse housing and incomes, compared to a small upscale community such as Palo Alto or Hillsborough. The same would hold true for Sausalito’s recovery versus County of Marin, for example. The smaller the community, the quicker median prices can move in either direction with just a few sales. In the East Bay, prices are rebounding faster in high-end communities like Orinda, Lafayette and San Ramon. Never before has the role of the local real estate professional been more important to help customers understand all the data available and sort through the appropriate comparable properties when home shopping or selling.
The market figures came from DataQuick, the La Jolla-based real estate information service. DataQuick compared quarterly median prices for single-family resale homes in 74 Bay Area cities since 2007 for stories that ran in the Mercury, Oakland Tribune and several other Bay Area news organizations.
It’s an old real estate adage, but it couldn’t be truer today. When it comes to the health of the Bay Area (and the rest of the country, for that matter), the three most important rules for the housing market are location, location and location.
As readers of this column know by now, the upper end of the Bay Area market has fared relatively well in recent years while entry-level and mid-priced communities around the Bay have struggled far more to recover from the recessionary downturn.
I talked about this disparity in an interview with the San Jose Mercury for an article that was published on Sunday. As the Mercury noted, housing prices in many affluent cities in Silicon Valley and the Peninsula are nearing their pre-recession highs while other working-class communities have a long ways to go in their recovery.
One reason for this trend, as I pointed out to reporters, is that more-expensive markets never saw home prices drop as sharply as the areas with more subprime lending and subsequent foreclosures. Lower-priced communities had more marginal buyers, many of whom also made zero or small down payments. More of those buyers also took out resetting adjustable loans.
On the other side of the coin, residents and potential buyers in high-end communities generally haven’t been impacted by the overall economic downturn as much as homeowners in other areas. In Silicon Valley in particular, the strength of the tech industry and the growing number of successful start-ups and initial public offerings have created a tremendous number of affluent, well-capitalized buyers who are bidding up prices of a limited number of homes.
Because home prices in affluent communities never dropped as much as those in entry-level markets, these cities have less ground to make up in recovering from the downturn. Palo Alto’s median sale price, for example, is off about 12 percent from its peak in 2008 while the median in several low-to-middle income markets is still down nearly 50 percent, according to the news report.
Two of the largest Bay Area cities with a diverse mix of housing are recovering, albeit not quite as fast as Silicon Valley, according to the reports. San Francisco’s median sale price is about 22 percent below its 2007 peak while San Jose is 36 percent below its high-water mark. It’s important to note the sheer size of San Jose and San Francisco populations reflect diverse housing and incomes, compared to a small upscale community such as Palo Alto or Hillsborough. The same would hold true for Sausalito’s recovery versus County of Marin, for example. The smaller the community, the quicker median prices can move in either direction with just a few sales. In the East Bay, prices are rebounding faster in high-end communities like Orinda, Lafayette and San Ramon. Never before has the role of the local real estate professional been more important to help customers understand all the data available and sort through the appropriate comparable properties when home shopping or selling.
The market figures came from DataQuick, the La Jolla-based real estate information service. DataQuick compared quarterly median prices for single-family resale homes in 74 Bay Area cities since 2007 for stories that ran in the Mercury, Oakland Tribune and several other Bay Area news organizations.
Thursday, July 7, 2011
According to MLS: Greater Bay Area Housing Market News
Greater Bay Area Housing Market Report
More Articles
For economists, poor jobs and housing data indicate a slowing economic recovery. For homebuyers, the news means lower prices and better mortgage interest rates. As of June 2011, qualified homebuyers - those with excellent credit and with funds available for down payments – couldn’t be in a better position to buy a home.
Prices are at their lowest since 2002, according to the Q-1 2011 S&P/Case-Shiller Index. Since 2006, prices have fallen 33%, greater than the 31% decline recorded during the Great Depression. According to the National Association of REALTORS, the national median existing-home price for all housing types was $163,700 in April, 5.0 percent lower than in April 2010. Distressed homes, which sell at a discount of approximately 20%, were 37% of sales, up from 33% a year ago.
Believe it or not, there’s good news hidden in the numbers. Analysts at Capital Economics say housing has actually overcorrected, and is undervalued by approximately 24%. Paul Dales, U.S. analyst, reports that currently U.S. housing is undervalued by approximately 24%, the lowest amount in 35 years. For that reason, he predicts that the housing slide is nearing its end. Foreclosures, which have pressured both prices and real estate appraisals for non-distressed homes, are still high -- but are leveling off. RealtyTrac says that U.S. foreclosure filings were down 9% in April 2011 from March, and down 34% from a year ago.
It takes confidence to buy a home. On June 3, 2011, the government reported that the jobless rate rose from 9.0% to 9.1%, a reversal of three months of earlier gains, which is likely to continue to keep the distressed home pipeline full for months to come. The news has sent mortgage interest rates plummeting. After a seven-week slide, the Freddie Mac survey announced on June 3, 2011 that the benchmark 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.55%, down from 4.60% the prior week and 4.79% a year ago.
California
Like the rest of the nation, California home sales also declined in April 2011 from the previous month, but were up 5% over a year ago. And, unlike the national trend, home prices actually increased. The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home sold in California rose 2.5 percent in April to $293,570, up from a revised $286,510 in March, says the California Association of REALTORS (C.A.R.).
The combination of an average 4.8% fixed-rate plus prices well below the peak of 2006, point to improved housing affordability. The percentage of buyers who could afford to buy the median-priced, single-family home rose to 53% in Q1-2011, up from 50% in Q4 2010, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). All eyes are on the White House proposal to eliminate Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and to reduce the high-cost-area conforming loan limit from the temporary $729,750 to a permanent $625,500. It’s unknown whether or not the pending rule will temporarily boost housing sales in high-cost areas such as the Greater Bay Area, as buyers try to close their loans before the temporary ceiling is removed at the end of September 2011.
Local Sales Trends – May 2011
Locally, according to MLSListings May 2011 County Indicators Report, home sales and inventory figures mirrored elements of both the regional and national pictures, but this market appears to be charting its own course. While overall performance in Monterey, Santa Clara, San Mateo, San Benito and Santa Cruz counties fell compared to the same time last year, month-over-month changes are indicating some positive signs.
Closed sales in May dropped in four of the five counties from the same month last year. Santa Clara County had the largest drop at 21%, while San Mateo and Monterey each dropped by 15%. San Benito sales were down 8%, and San Mateo remained flat.
Compared to last month, sales increased 15% in San Mateo County, 4% in both Monterey and San Benito, dropped 3% in Santa Clara and remained flat in Santa Cruz.
Inventory increased or remained flat from the same month last year in all five counties except Monterey and Santa Cruz, where they were down 6% and 4% respectively. San Benito inventory was up 6%, San Mateo up 1%, while Santa Clara remained flat.
Compared to last month, inventory increased or remained flat in all counties. Inventory was up 8% in Santa Cruz, 4% in Monterey, 3% in San Mateo, and remained flat in both San Benito and Santa Clara.
New Listings compared to the same month last year dropped 15% in Monterey, 1% in Santa Clara, but increased 18% in San Benito, 2% in Santa Cruz, and just 1% in San Mateo.
Compared to last month, listings were up 18% in Santa Cruz, 8% in Monterey, 1% in both San Benito and Santa Clara, and decreased 4% in San Mateo.
Median Price dropped in four of the five counties compared to the same month last year. The largest drop occurred in Santa Cruz at 16%, San Benito was down 6%, Monterey down 5%, Santa Clara down 4%, and San Mateo showed the only increase at 10%.
Compared to last month, coupled with strong sales, San Mateo’s median price rose 14%, San Benito was up 6%, Santa Clara up 3%, while Monterey dropped 3% along with Santa Cruz which was down 2%.
Days on Market increased substantially from the same month last year in all counties except in Santa Cruz. DOM increased 84% in San Benito, 49% in San Mateo, 32% in Santa Clara, 13% in Monterey, and dropped 15% in Santa Cruz.
Compared to last month, days on market increased 35% in San Benito and 6% in San Mateo. DOM dropped 24% in Santa Cruz, 14% in Santa Clara, and 3% in Monterey.
More Articles
For economists, poor jobs and housing data indicate a slowing economic recovery. For homebuyers, the news means lower prices and better mortgage interest rates. As of June 2011, qualified homebuyers - those with excellent credit and with funds available for down payments – couldn’t be in a better position to buy a home.
Prices are at their lowest since 2002, according to the Q-1 2011 S&P/Case-Shiller Index. Since 2006, prices have fallen 33%, greater than the 31% decline recorded during the Great Depression. According to the National Association of REALTORS, the national median existing-home price for all housing types was $163,700 in April, 5.0 percent lower than in April 2010. Distressed homes, which sell at a discount of approximately 20%, were 37% of sales, up from 33% a year ago.
Believe it or not, there’s good news hidden in the numbers. Analysts at Capital Economics say housing has actually overcorrected, and is undervalued by approximately 24%. Paul Dales, U.S. analyst, reports that currently U.S. housing is undervalued by approximately 24%, the lowest amount in 35 years. For that reason, he predicts that the housing slide is nearing its end. Foreclosures, which have pressured both prices and real estate appraisals for non-distressed homes, are still high -- but are leveling off. RealtyTrac says that U.S. foreclosure filings were down 9% in April 2011 from March, and down 34% from a year ago.
It takes confidence to buy a home. On June 3, 2011, the government reported that the jobless rate rose from 9.0% to 9.1%, a reversal of three months of earlier gains, which is likely to continue to keep the distressed home pipeline full for months to come. The news has sent mortgage interest rates plummeting. After a seven-week slide, the Freddie Mac survey announced on June 3, 2011 that the benchmark 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.55%, down from 4.60% the prior week and 4.79% a year ago.
California
Like the rest of the nation, California home sales also declined in April 2011 from the previous month, but were up 5% over a year ago. And, unlike the national trend, home prices actually increased. The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home sold in California rose 2.5 percent in April to $293,570, up from a revised $286,510 in March, says the California Association of REALTORS (C.A.R.).
The combination of an average 4.8% fixed-rate plus prices well below the peak of 2006, point to improved housing affordability. The percentage of buyers who could afford to buy the median-priced, single-family home rose to 53% in Q1-2011, up from 50% in Q4 2010, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). All eyes are on the White House proposal to eliminate Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and to reduce the high-cost-area conforming loan limit from the temporary $729,750 to a permanent $625,500. It’s unknown whether or not the pending rule will temporarily boost housing sales in high-cost areas such as the Greater Bay Area, as buyers try to close their loans before the temporary ceiling is removed at the end of September 2011.
Local Sales Trends – May 2011
Locally, according to MLSListings May 2011 County Indicators Report, home sales and inventory figures mirrored elements of both the regional and national pictures, but this market appears to be charting its own course. While overall performance in Monterey, Santa Clara, San Mateo, San Benito and Santa Cruz counties fell compared to the same time last year, month-over-month changes are indicating some positive signs.
Closed sales in May dropped in four of the five counties from the same month last year. Santa Clara County had the largest drop at 21%, while San Mateo and Monterey each dropped by 15%. San Benito sales were down 8%, and San Mateo remained flat.
Compared to last month, sales increased 15% in San Mateo County, 4% in both Monterey and San Benito, dropped 3% in Santa Clara and remained flat in Santa Cruz.
Inventory increased or remained flat from the same month last year in all five counties except Monterey and Santa Cruz, where they were down 6% and 4% respectively. San Benito inventory was up 6%, San Mateo up 1%, while Santa Clara remained flat.
Compared to last month, inventory increased or remained flat in all counties. Inventory was up 8% in Santa Cruz, 4% in Monterey, 3% in San Mateo, and remained flat in both San Benito and Santa Clara.
New Listings compared to the same month last year dropped 15% in Monterey, 1% in Santa Clara, but increased 18% in San Benito, 2% in Santa Cruz, and just 1% in San Mateo.
Compared to last month, listings were up 18% in Santa Cruz, 8% in Monterey, 1% in both San Benito and Santa Clara, and decreased 4% in San Mateo.
Median Price dropped in four of the five counties compared to the same month last year. The largest drop occurred in Santa Cruz at 16%, San Benito was down 6%, Monterey down 5%, Santa Clara down 4%, and San Mateo showed the only increase at 10%.
Compared to last month, coupled with strong sales, San Mateo’s median price rose 14%, San Benito was up 6%, Santa Clara up 3%, while Monterey dropped 3% along with Santa Cruz which was down 2%.
Days on Market increased substantially from the same month last year in all counties except in Santa Cruz. DOM increased 84% in San Benito, 49% in San Mateo, 32% in Santa Clara, 13% in Monterey, and dropped 15% in Santa Cruz.
Compared to last month, days on market increased 35% in San Benito and 6% in San Mateo. DOM dropped 24% in Santa Cruz, 14% in Santa Clara, and 3% in Monterey.
Wednesday, June 22, 2011
Mortgage rates flat after hitting yearly low
Mortgage rates flat after hitting yearly low
By Derek Kravitz
Fixed mortgage rates stayed roughly flat after falling for eight weeks.
The average rate on the 30-year loan ticked up from a yearly low of 4.49 percent to 4.50 percent, Freddie Mac said Thursday. The average rate on the 15-year fixed mortgage, a popular refinance option, fell to 3.67 percent from 3.68 percent. That's a low for the year.
Rates tend to track the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. The 10-year yield has been dropping as fears over that economic recovery is slowing.
Most people can't take advantage of the low mortgage rates because they can't meet tougher lending requirements. And many who could afford to refinance likely did so last year, when rates fell to their lowest levels in decades.
Sales of new and previously occupied homes rose in April. But sales are well below healthy levels as waves of foreclosures have pushed prices down. Many would-be buyers are holding off, worried that prices have yet to bottom out.
And prices are expected to keep falling until the glut of foreclosures for sale is reduced, companies start hiring in greater numbers, banks ease up on their tougher lending rules and more people think it makes sense to buy a house again. In some areas of the country, that could take years.
To calculate average mortgage rates, Freddie Mac collects rates from lenders across the country on Monday through Wednesday of each week. Rates often fluctuate significantly, even within a sigle day.
Let's set a time to talk today about how these mortgage rates can help you with your real estate dreams?
Call Monica @ 408 399 1495
By Derek Kravitz
Fixed mortgage rates stayed roughly flat after falling for eight weeks.
The average rate on the 30-year loan ticked up from a yearly low of 4.49 percent to 4.50 percent, Freddie Mac said Thursday. The average rate on the 15-year fixed mortgage, a popular refinance option, fell to 3.67 percent from 3.68 percent. That's a low for the year.
Rates tend to track the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. The 10-year yield has been dropping as fears over that economic recovery is slowing.
Most people can't take advantage of the low mortgage rates because they can't meet tougher lending requirements. And many who could afford to refinance likely did so last year, when rates fell to their lowest levels in decades.
Sales of new and previously occupied homes rose in April. But sales are well below healthy levels as waves of foreclosures have pushed prices down. Many would-be buyers are holding off, worried that prices have yet to bottom out.
And prices are expected to keep falling until the glut of foreclosures for sale is reduced, companies start hiring in greater numbers, banks ease up on their tougher lending rules and more people think it makes sense to buy a house again. In some areas of the country, that could take years.
To calculate average mortgage rates, Freddie Mac collects rates from lenders across the country on Monday through Wednesday of each week. Rates often fluctuate significantly, even within a sigle day.
Let's set a time to talk today about how these mortgage rates can help you with your real estate dreams?
Call Monica @ 408 399 1495
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Monday, June 13, 2011
Friday, February 11, 2011
San Jose Summary
The median sales price for homes in San Jose CA for Nov 10 to Jan 11 was $393,713. This represents a decline of 2.2%, or $8,802, compared to the prior quarter and an increase of 0.8% compared to the prior year. Sales prices have depreciated 37.5% over the last 5 years in San Jose. The average listing price for San Jose homes for sale on Trulia was $481,225 for the week ending Feb 02, which represents an increase of 2.6%, or $12,391, compared to the prior week and an increase of 3%, or $14,009, compared to the week ending Jan 12. Average price per square foot for San Jose CA was $289, a decrease of 1.7% compared to the same period last year.
Popular neighborhoods in San Jose include Willow Glen, Evergreen, Edenvale, Alum Rock, Berryessa, and North San Jose.
The median sales price for homes in San Jose CA for Nov 10 to Jan 11 was $393,713. This represents a decline of 2.2%, or $8,802, compared to the prior quarter and an increase of 0.8% compared to the prior year. Sales prices have depreciated 37.5% over the last 5 years in San Jose. The average listing price for San Jose homes for sale on Trulia was $481,225 for the week ending Feb 02, which represents an increase of 2.6%, or $12,391, compared to the prior week and an increase of 3%, or $14,009, compared to the week ending Jan 12. Average price per square foot for San Jose CA was $289, a decrease of 1.7% compared to the same period last year.
Popular neighborhoods in San Jose include Willow Glen, Evergreen, Edenvale, Alum Rock, Berryessa, and North San Jose.
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