Is The Market Taking a U-Turn?
It was a week of decisive action by the U.S. government as it worked to fix the problems affecting Wall Street and the ever expanding global economic unrest. Earlier this week, President Bush announced a historic and reworked financial-rescue plan, confirming that the U.S. will take equity stakes in nine banks (among them Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, to name a few), backstop virtually all non-interest-bearing bank accounts and guarantee most new loans between banks.
The White House plan marks the first such deep government intervention in markets since the Great Depression.
The plan found support among economists and experts. “This is finally the comprehensive and detailed plan that the market has been looking for,” said Jaret Seiberg, financial institution analyst for the Stanford Group. “It addresses the biggest problems that banks face, which is a capital crunch, and it attempts to fix the short term debt markets, plus it reduces the risk of liquidity runs on banks. That’s a pretty powerful first punch.”
In layman’s terms, this plan means that the government will now own a stake in several private U.S. companies—something that has many Americans rightfully concerned—though for now provides a stable backing in an effort to increase the availability of financing for consumers and businesses. Without this backing, consumer and business spending was shrinking which ultimately leads to businesses cutting jobs or worse yet, closing their doors. In theory, this plan should allow us to restore more normal market functioning and (hopefully) reinvigorate the financial markets.
One day after announcing his plan, the Dow tumbled to its second worst session ever on a point basis. The slide of 7.9% was the Dow’s 9th worst ever. In fact, according to CNNMoney, the decline wiped out $1.1 trillion in market value on the Dow Jones Wilshire 5000, the broadest measure of the stock market.
So what has this week’s rollercoaster ride on Wall Street meant for our local housing market? It seems consumers are over the initial shock of the current economic crisis and starting to realize that life will go on. Some continue to sit back and watch but others are emerging following a few weeks of silence. Let’s take a look…
Silicon Valley—There are two types of buyers out there right now—those who see this as an opportune time and are acting on it and those who have adopted the wait and see philosophy and are afraid to act. For the most part, our Silicon Valley offices are reporting that buyer interest has slowed with floor calls and open house activity decreasing. However, our San Jose Main office disagrees noting that buyer activity at open houses this week actually increased. The market that seems to be fairing the best is the entry level and continued success lies in the bank-owned arena where REO properties continue to generate multiple offers. There are two types of clients who are seeing success in today’s market (the rest languish so clients of all regions take note):
Buyers who see real estate as a long-term investment and this market, in particular, as an opportunity and are acting on it
Sellers who price their home right, stage it and are motivated
There is our market in a nutshell. Overall, things seem to be steady.
It was a week of decisive action by the U.S. government as it worked to fix the problems affecting Wall Street and the ever expanding global economic unrest. Earlier this week, President Bush announced a historic and reworked financial-rescue plan, confirming that the U.S. will take equity stakes in nine banks (among them Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, to name a few), backstop virtually all non-interest-bearing bank accounts and guarantee most new loans between banks.
The White House plan marks the first such deep government intervention in markets since the Great Depression.
The plan found support among economists and experts. “This is finally the comprehensive and detailed plan that the market has been looking for,” said Jaret Seiberg, financial institution analyst for the Stanford Group. “It addresses the biggest problems that banks face, which is a capital crunch, and it attempts to fix the short term debt markets, plus it reduces the risk of liquidity runs on banks. That’s a pretty powerful first punch.”
In layman’s terms, this plan means that the government will now own a stake in several private U.S. companies—something that has many Americans rightfully concerned—though for now provides a stable backing in an effort to increase the availability of financing for consumers and businesses. Without this backing, consumer and business spending was shrinking which ultimately leads to businesses cutting jobs or worse yet, closing their doors. In theory, this plan should allow us to restore more normal market functioning and (hopefully) reinvigorate the financial markets.
One day after announcing his plan, the Dow tumbled to its second worst session ever on a point basis. The slide of 7.9% was the Dow’s 9th worst ever. In fact, according to CNNMoney, the decline wiped out $1.1 trillion in market value on the Dow Jones Wilshire 5000, the broadest measure of the stock market.
So what has this week’s rollercoaster ride on Wall Street meant for our local housing market? It seems consumers are over the initial shock of the current economic crisis and starting to realize that life will go on. Some continue to sit back and watch but others are emerging following a few weeks of silence. Let’s take a look…
Silicon Valley—There are two types of buyers out there right now—those who see this as an opportune time and are acting on it and those who have adopted the wait and see philosophy and are afraid to act. For the most part, our Silicon Valley offices are reporting that buyer interest has slowed with floor calls and open house activity decreasing. However, our San Jose Main office disagrees noting that buyer activity at open houses this week actually increased. The market that seems to be fairing the best is the entry level and continued success lies in the bank-owned arena where REO properties continue to generate multiple offers. There are two types of clients who are seeing success in today’s market (the rest languish so clients of all regions take note):
Buyers who see real estate as a long-term investment and this market, in particular, as an opportunity and are acting on it
Sellers who price their home right, stage it and are motivated
There is our market in a nutshell. Overall, things seem to be steady.
Bank owned properties continue to drive much of our activity. Make no bones about it, however, homes are selling. It just takes a little time, diligence and professionalism in today’s market.
Until next week. Make it a great one!
Until next week. Make it a great one!
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